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Qual 362009 Philadelphia Regional
Red42
22319.3
149516.7
32110.6
Blue34
48612.3
28415.8
50913.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42522060801004234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
223
#4
19.30.1
17.5→17.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.5
284
#37
15.81.4
15.7→14.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1495
#29
16.70.1
13.6→13.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.2
509
#48
13.50.8
16.4→15.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
321
#30
10.60.1
12.0→11.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.7
486
#39
12.31.1
18.2→17.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—