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Qual 382009 Philadelphia Regional
Red26
80916.2
140313.7
164711.4
Blue32
48416.6
255910.4
30414.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4942102030607080902632

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
809
#32
16.21.2
17.6→16.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.4
484
#14
16.60.6
15.1→14.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1403
#35
13.71.2
17.4→16.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.0
304
#23
14.70.9
12.8→11.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1647
#44
11.41.8
12.8→11.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.0
2559
#38
10.40.9
15.3→14.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—