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Qual 402009 Philadelphia Regional
Red32
1122.6
27224.5
179114.2
Blue78
127930.7
34121.6
37827.4
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61742040801001201403278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
#13
24.51.7
28.1→26.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 6.2
1279
#6
30.70.3
27.0→27.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
11
#7
22.61.7
22.0→20.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.7
378
#3
27.40.3
23.1→23.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1791
#17
14.22.5
12.3→9.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 7.4
341
#50
21.60.3
22.2→22.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—