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Qual 542009 Philadelphia Regional
Red80
127930.7
163411.6
164711.4
Blue34
26078.4
35712.3
10417.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50340204060801008034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1279
#6
30.71.6
27.7→29.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 13.2
104
#36
17.50.1
14.0→13.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1634
#46
11.62.7
9.4→12.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.7
357
#43
12.30.1
13.9→13.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1647
#44
11.42.7
10.6→13.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.0
2607
#51
8.40.1
7.8→7.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—