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Qual 602009 Philadelphia Regional
Red40
8421.2
28415.8
29314.8
Blue107
114319.8
34121.6
39532.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions467202040608010012040107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84
#40
21.20.8
19.6→18.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 11.3
395
#10
32.52.2
28.4→30.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
284
#37
15.80.8
14.4→13.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.8
341
#50
21.61.9
21.3→23.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
293
#49
14.80.5
15.5→15.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.0
1143
#26
19.81.9
18.5→20.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—