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Qual 642009 Philadelphia Regional
Red40
34121.6
29314.8
222914.2
Blue50
102714.0
255910.4
25019.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions544202060801004050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#50
21.60.6
23.3→22.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.7
250
#15
19.90.3
19.6→19.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
293
#49
14.80.6
15.0→14.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.9
1027
#28
14.00.3
12.0→12.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2229
#34
14.21.0
13.9→13.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.8
2559
#38
10.40.6
11.7→12.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—