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Qual 72009 Philadelphia Regional
Red85
20417.5
114319.8
8715.1
Blue12
137012.0
26078.4
70815.4
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394602060808512

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1143
#26
19.83.5
15.7→19.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.4
708
#31
15.42.6
18.1→15.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
204
#11
17.53.3
10.3→13.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.6
1370
#19
12.02.6
14.4→11.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
87
#24
15.13.0
13.9→16.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.6
2607
#51
8.42.6
12.6→10.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—