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Qual 722009 Philadelphia Regional
Red66
42314.6
39532.5
32110.6
Blue58
108913.4
272920.7
163411.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5843020801001206658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
395
#10
32.50.5
32.1→32.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 11.8
2729
#16
20.70.7
20.0→20.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
423
#45
14.60.5
14.1→14.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.2
1089
#18
13.40.7
13.5→14.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
321
#30
10.60.7
9.9→10.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.0
1634
#46
11.61.0
11.1→12.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—