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Red75
254413.3
3069.6
30222.5
Blue4
242811.7
136719.0
26186.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484810203040607080754

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#11
22.51.5
19.020.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
1367
#18
19.03.2
21.418.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2544
#28
13.32.2
13.916.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
2428
#32
11.73.6
14.010.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
306
#33
9.61.9
15.217.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
2618
#37
6.83.6
12.48.7
Auto
Teleop
End