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Qual 422009 Pittsburgh Regional
Red4
254413.3
242811.7
11714.1
Blue54
86917.8
260321.0
227914.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495320406080454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
117
#26
14.13.8
17.5→13.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 6.9
2603
#3
21.00.1
19.7→19.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2544
#28
13.33.8
17.1→13.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.5
869
#21
17.80.1
17.0→17.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2428
#32
11.73.8
15.1→11.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.9
2279
#22
14.60.1
16.1→16.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—