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Red64
253421.9
30222.5
239913.0
Blue50
11714.1
217215.1
199017.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions594502040801006450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#11
22.50.3
22.322.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
1990
#16
17.70.1
17.517.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
21.90.5
21.622.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
2172
#29
15.10.1
15.816.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2399
#12
13.00.3
13.313.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
117
#26
14.10.2
13.914.1
Auto
Teleop
End