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Red42
176520.3
172820.4
21114.0
Blue54
37819.6
80915.2
25019.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565402040804254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1728
Unranked
20.40.3
20.720.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
378
Unranked
19.60.0
19.819.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1765
Unranked
20.30.3
20.620.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
250
Unranked
19.00.0
19.219.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
211
Unranked
14.00.4
14.314.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
809
Unranked
15.20.0
15.415.4
Auto
Teleop
End