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Red58
176520.3
80915.2
150321.6
Blue55
52216.7
63916.0
301519.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514502060801001205855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1503
Unranked
21.60.6
22.222.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
3015
Unranked
19.10.8
12.613.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1765
Unranked
20.30.6
12.012.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
522
Unranked
16.70.7
15.816.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
809
Unranked
15.20.6
16.417.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
639
Unranked
16.00.8
17.518.3
Auto
Teleop
End