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Red28
140510.1
37819.6
57815.4
Blue30
158511.6
80915.2
262414.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54470204060801002830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
378
Unranked
19.62.1
21.919.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
809
Unranked
15.21.5
20.118.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
578
Unranked
15.42.1
16.414.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
2624
Unranked
14.41.5
14.713.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1405
Unranked
10.12.1
14.612.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
1585
Unranked
11.61.5
12.811.3
Auto
Teleop
End