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Red32
151117.6
42415.2
140510.1
Blue83
279117.2
112627.6
155919.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51612040801001203283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1511
Unranked
17.61.7
20.518.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.0
1126
Unranked
27.61.9
25.927.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
424
Unranked
15.21.7
19.617.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
1559
Unranked
19.21.9
19.621.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1405
Unranked
10.11.7
12.510.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.1
2791
Unranked
17.21.9
14.516.5
Auto
Teleop
End