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Red70
279117.2
304413.1
162616.7
Blue48
57815.4
299911.5
15479.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424002060801007048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2791
Unranked
17.26.7
21.714.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
578
Unranked
15.40.6
15.416.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1626
Unranked
16.72.3
16.719.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
2999
Unranked
11.51.7
11.513.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3044
Unranked
13.11.8
13.114.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
1547
Unranked
9.00.6
12.613.2
Auto
Teleop
End