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Red57
151117.6
34019.3
31620.8
Blue65
37819.6
25019.0
80915.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595202040801001205765

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
Unranked
20.80.0
21.021.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
378
Unranked
19.60.3
19.219.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
340
Unranked
19.30.0
19.519.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
250
Unranked
19.00.3
18.618.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1511
Unranked
17.60.0
17.817.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
809
Unranked
15.20.3
14.815.2
Auto
Teleop
End