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Qual 472009 Sacramento Regional
Red46
151615.3
167115.1
135914.2
Blue38
208520.9
107217.4
289213.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415202060801004638

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1516
#37
15.30.2
15.9→16.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.6
2085
#22
20.91.0
19.2→18.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1671
#20
15.10.2
12.6→12.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.3
1072
#27
17.40.6
15.6→15.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1359
#28
14.20.3
13.6→13.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.3
2892
#33
13.91.0
15.5→14.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—