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Red70
59922.9
76619.6
135914.2
Blue40
301313.1
212223.9
166219.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53612040801007040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
599
#5
22.90.8
22.022.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
2122
#11
23.91.0
25.524.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
766
#32
19.60.8
18.819.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1662
#31
19.11.5
20.419.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1359
#28
14.21.2
13.014.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
3013
#40
13.11.0
14.313.3
Auto
Teleop
End