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Red68
281521.7
248322.7
236216.0
Blue54
136920.9
131926.9
14366.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions475502040801001206854

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2483
#28
22.71.3
15.516.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
1319
#16
26.90.0
24.824.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2815
#11
21.71.0
20.321.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
20.90.0
15.915.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2362
#30
16.01.1
12.313.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.2
1436
#38
6.80.0
13.213.2
Auto
Teleop
End