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Red40
126117.5
137916.4
218712.6
Blue66
124916.7
195910.4
241524.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5448204060801004066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1261
#42
17.50.7
20.720.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
2415
#12
24.90.9
21.522.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1379
#34
16.41.1
17.116.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1249
#26
16.70.9
17.518.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2187
#36
12.61.1
15.714.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
1959
#37
10.41.4
10.011.4
Auto
Teleop
End