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Qual 512009 Palmetto Regional
Red52
102614.5
241524.9
173020.6
Blue36
124916.7
281521.7
129319.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62562040801005236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2415
#12
24.90.5
22.4→21.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.2
2815
#11
21.71.1
21.8→20.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1730
#13
20.60.5
22.6→22.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.8
1293
#15
19.81.8
16.9→15.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1026
#22
14.50.8
16.3→15.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.2
1249
#26
16.71.1
18.3→17.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—