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Qual 542009 Palmetto Regional
Red89
281521.7
80119.7
139816.8
Blue53
161816.3
167620.0
243014.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56472040801008953

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2815
#11
21.71.7
20.8→22.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.7
1676
#10
20.00.2
19.1→19.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
801
#19
19.71.7
19.2→20.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.4
1618
#35
16.30.4
15.5→15.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1398
#29
16.81.7
15.1→16.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.7
2430
#40
14.00.4
13.7→14.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—