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Red54
261423.6
34227.4
122515.6
Blue64
2115.4
177136.6
174622.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67752040601001201405464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
342
#2
27.40.7
28.227.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.2
36.60.5
36.035.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2614
#23
23.60.7
23.522.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
1746
#18
22.50.5
22.221.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1225
#31
15.61.1
16.515.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
21
#24
15.40.5
15.414.9
Auto
Teleop
End