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Red75
110222.9
175819.7
146614.9
Blue54
90018.7
209213.2
281521.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5654204060801007554

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1102
#14
22.91.0
22.423.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
2815
#11
21.70.0
22.522.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1758
#21
19.71.0
19.620.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
900
#17
18.70.0
18.818.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1466
#32
14.91.4
13.514.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
2092
#39
13.20.0
13.213.2
Auto
Teleop
End