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Qual 72009 Palmetto Regional
Red46
175819.7
177212.7
241524.9
Blue71
105120.8
14366.8
34227.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584902040801004671

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2415
#12
24.90.7
19.4→18.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.5
342
#2
27.41.6
23.7→25.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1758
#21
19.70.7
21.5→20.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.1
1051
#5
20.81.7
14.5→16.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1772
#43
12.70.9
15.8→14.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.0
1436
#38
6.81.7
12.4→14.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—