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Red100
133225.7
34124.9
254315.4
Blue70
134814.6
138829.1
153818.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6461020408010012014010070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.70.8
24.925.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
29.10.2
28.929.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
341
#7
24.90.8
24.124.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
1538
#24
18.20.2
18.018.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2543
#26
15.40.8
14.615.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
1348
#33
14.60.2
14.414.6
Auto
Teleop
End