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Red16
157212.5
134814.6
101114.0
Blue58
259912.5
206612.3
248517.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474202060801001201658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1348
#33
14.62.5
14.011.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
2485
#14
17.41.3
14.415.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1011
#21
14.02.5
17.615.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
2599
#22Sur
12.51.3
18.019.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1572
#19Sur
12.52.5
14.512.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2066
#35
12.31.3
10.511.8
Auto
Teleop
End