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Red32
219310.7
34124.9
263713.1
Blue0
107214.8
249318.0
283914.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4746020406080100320

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#7
24.91.2
20.719.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.9
2493
#29
18.03.8
16.212.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2637
#23
13.11.2
12.811.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
1072
#16
14.83.8
14.710.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2193
#25
10.71.2
13.312.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
14.23.8
15.211.3
Auto
Teleop
End