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Red12
203214.1
254315.4
303218.2
Blue22
197216.6
126615.2
263713.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41400102030506070801222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3032
#18
18.28.1
18.210.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
16.61.5
12.210.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2543
#26
15.42.4
13.911.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1266
#15
15.21.5
14.513.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2032
#13
14.12.4
14.512.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
2637
#23
13.11.5
13.411.9
Auto
Teleop
End