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Red28
157212.5
126615.2
282713.4
Blue58
152716.1
182817.4
298420.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414502060801002858

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1266
#15
15.21.1
14.313.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
2984
#12
20.41.1
14.715.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2827
#27
13.41.1
15.614.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
1828
#20
17.41.1
14.515.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1572
#19
12.51.1
11.610.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
1527
#10
16.11.1
15.516.6
Auto
Teleop
End