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Red32
233916.2
152716.1
263713.1
Blue28
265818.1
304113.7
39311.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43432030405060703228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.20.9
12.511.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
2658
#28
18.11.2
17.015.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1527
#10
16.10.9
16.715.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
3041
#36
13.71.2
12.311.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2637
#23
13.10.9
14.013.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
393
#30
11.31.2
13.712.4
Auto
Teleop
End