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Red30
76619.2
186819.1
8418.7
Blue104
64916.9
98730.0
84625.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5163020408010012014030104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
766
#7Sur
19.21.9
21.319.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.7
987
#6
30.03.5
24.227.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1868
#14
19.11.9
19.217.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
846
#12
25.23.5
21.925.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
841
#46
8.71.9
11.89.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.3
649
#31Sur
16.93.5
15.719.2
Auto
Teleop
End