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Red22
281315.3
135112.5
214410.4
Blue20
183410.9
304510.7
8418.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393402060801001201402220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2813
#17
15.31.4
13.812.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
1834
#39
10.91.3
13.212.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1351
#33
12.51.4
13.111.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
3045
#37
10.71.3
11.510.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2144
#42
10.41.4
11.810.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
841
#46
8.71.3
10.39.0
Auto
Teleop
End