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Red30
236711.5
16419.8
8418.7
Blue56
247313.7
264311.1
69218.6
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324302060803056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2367
#40
11.50.3
13.813.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.1
692
#15
18.61.2
16.918.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1641
#45
9.80.3
10.310.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
2473
#30
13.71.2
15.016.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
841
#46
8.70.3
9.08.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
2643
#19
11.11.2
10.011.2
Auto
Teleop
End