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Red50
248915.4
17007.0
186819.1
Blue74
11424.4
281315.3
302213.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions435202060801005074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1868
#14
19.10.5
21.421.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
114
#23
24.42.0
24.326.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2489
#32
15.40.5
14.214.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2813
#17
15.32.0
14.116.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1700
#44
7.00.5
8.38.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
3022
#26
13.91.8
12.113.9
Auto
Teleop
End