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Red40
8418.7
151614.1
196713.2
Blue42
213516.4
67516.5
816.0
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315602040801001204042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1516
#34
14.10.4
13.614.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
675
#22
16.50.9
18.717.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1967
#36
13.20.4
12.813.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
2135
#16
16.40.8
17.816.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
841
#46
8.70.4
8.38.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.3
8
#21
16.00.8
16.415.5
Auto
Teleop
End