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Red50
148014.7
186712.4
41821.6
Blue2
295212.0
215718.9
258312.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44360206080100502

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
#1
21.60.5
19.119.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
2157
#31
18.92.9
11.99.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
14.70.6
12.413.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
2583
#35
12.62.9
12.59.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1867
#45
12.40.6
11.512.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2952
#16
12.02.4
12.09.7
Auto
Teleop
End