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Qual 132009 Lone Star Regional
Red44
41821.6
147726.2
14299.7
Blue34
288110.6
308015.5
186517.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5640020801004434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#12
26.20.5
23.8→23.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 9.2
1865
#39
17.10.7
16.5→15.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
418
#1
21.60.6
19.6→19.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.1
3080
#17
15.50.7
13.4→12.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1429
#26
9.70.6
10.3→9.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.9
2881
#50
10.60.7
12.1→11.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—