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Qual 242009 Lone Star Regional
Red76
283314.9
295611.3
41821.6
Blue16
307110.7
273712.7
261311.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46320204060807616

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
#1
21.61.9
19.0→20.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 9.0
2737
#58
12.71.5
13.6→12.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2833
#18
14.92.6
13.3→15.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.6
2613
#43
11.21.5
9.3→7.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2956
#40
11.32.6
12.1→14.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.7
3071
#60
10.71.5
11.1→9.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—