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Qual 282009 Lone Star Regional
Red74
62435.7
258312.6
92217.1
Blue26
207215.5
288110.6
148412.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53340204060801007426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#10
35.71.2
31.3→32.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 20.3
2072
#27
15.50.9
13.9→13.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
922
#29
17.11.9
8.1→10.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.6
1484
#63
12.60.9
11.2→10.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2583
#35
12.61.9
11.3→13.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.0
2881
#50
10.60.9
11.4→10.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—