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Qual 462009 Lone Star Regional
Red71
302817.3
261311.2
23124.9
Blue34
186712.4
293615.4
310313.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474002060801007134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#7
24.92.1
20.7→22.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 9.5
2936
#48
15.40.6
15.4→14.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3028
#2
17.32.1
15.8→17.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.0
3103
#42
13.30.6
13.6→13.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2613
#43
11.22.1
9.4→11.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.2
1867
#45
12.40.6
12.0→11.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—