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Red66
181814.1
296620.4
181710.8
Blue52
186712.4
148412.6
301218.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4338102030506070806652

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2966
#20
20.42.0
18.820.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
3012
#30
18.61.1
16.017.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1818
#28
14.12.0
12.714.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
1484
#63
12.61.1
11.012.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1817
#37
10.81.2
10.812.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
1867
#45
12.41.1
11.412.6
Auto
Teleop
End