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Qual 62009 Lone Star Regional
Red81
11829.2
186517.1
299116.4
Blue20
283314.9
92217.1
12559.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54340204060801001208120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#4
29.22.3
24.7→27.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.0
922
#29
17.11.4
11.7→10.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1865
#39
17.12.5
14.0→16.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.2
2833
#18
14.93.6
14.9→11.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2991
#41
16.41.4
16.4→15.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.5
1255
#51
9.91.4
12.0→10.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—