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Red36
284313.8
207215.5
302817.3
Blue24
49914.3
296912.4
283314.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464625303540503624

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.30.8
17.917.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
2833
#18
14.91.8
15.713.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2072
#27
15.50.8
14.814.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
499
#61
14.31.1
15.514.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2843
#38
13.80.8
13.312.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
2969
#56
12.41.8
14.612.8
Auto
Teleop
End