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Qual 652009 Lone Star Regional
Red57
258312.6
288013.2
301218.6
Blue20
273712.7
15137.9
310313.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41371020305060705720

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3012
#30
18.61.4
17.2→18.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.2
3103
#42
13.31.5
13.9→12.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2880
#24
13.21.4
11.8→13.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.6
2737
#58
12.71.5
14.1→12.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2583
#35
12.61.4
11.4→12.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.7
1513
#52
7.91.5
9.4→7.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—