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Red48
25978.1
219015.7
147726.2
Blue50
295611.3
284313.8
293813.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54320204060801004850

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#12
26.20.1
26.526.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.4
2843
#38
13.81.3
12.513.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2190
#47
15.70.2
16.015.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
2938
#44
13.31.3
12.113.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2597
#57
8.10.2
8.28.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
2956
#40
11.31.3
10.111.3
Auto
Teleop
End