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Red64
261311.2
207215.5
258722.7
Blue28
181710.8
180119.8
186517.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455402060801001206428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.71.5
22.123.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
1801
#34
19.82.1
21.619.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2072
#27
15.51.5
14.015.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
1865
#39
17.12.1
19.217.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2613
#43
11.21.5
9.711.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1817
#37
10.81.2
12.010.8
Auto
Teleop
End