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Qual 142009 NASA VCU Regional
Red42
43518.9
165511.4
141318.6
Blue48
182915.2
34627.1
24349.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52340204060801004248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
435
#26
18.90.6
19.2→18.6
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Teleop—
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blue by 8.2
346
#2
27.10.8
17.4→18.2
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Teleop—
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Second
1413
#4
18.60.6
17.8→17.1
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Teleop—
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red by 3.5
1829
#38
15.20.9
11.2→12.2
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Teleop—
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Third
1655
#57
11.40.6
12.8→12.1
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Teleop—
End—
red by 1.9
2434
#31
9.40.9
8.1→9.0
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Teleop—
End—