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Qual 162009 NASA VCU Regional
Red18
159913.4
298811.7
122211.4
Blue71
190015.9
202817.0
179313.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37410102030506070801871

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1599
#45
13.41.6
13.8→12.2
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blue by 3.7
2028
#53
17.02.6
14.2→16.7
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Second
2988
#56
11.71.6
12.4→10.8
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blue by 4.2
1900
#32
15.92.2
14.1→16.3
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Third
1222
#50
11.41.6
10.9→9.3
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blue by 2.4
1793
#42
13.82.2
11.9→14.1
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